As we all vent our frustration and anger over this clearly political decision, I think that it is important to understand the real reason why this all happened and to somehow get a consistent message out to both the public and even our fellow sports fisherman. There are so many false narratives out there even amongst ourselves. The simple facts of the closure that we need to communicate and somehow get publicized are:
1) There is a real issue with early run Fraser stocks that needs to be addressed. I think that we all agree on this.
2)The decision to shut down most of Vancouver Island and Georgia Straight to recreational fishing will not do anything to help this issue. While an extremely small percentage of the fish caught in previous years come from these Fraser stocks, a simple change in regulations to allow hatchery only would have accomplished the same thing. In many areas impacted by the shutdown, the chances of you catching a Fraser run fish are similar to winning the lottery.
3) Thanks primarily to the sports fishing industry there are many non-Fraser stocks of fish that are thriving. Changes in regulations over the years and the sports fishing industries initiatives in salmon enhancement including stream rehabilitation and hatchery/net pen initiatives has resulted in a pretty consistent fishery across the West coast. While we all pine for the golden age of plentiful and larger Spring salmon of the 1960's and early 1970's, those days may be over but overall it is still a strong fishery.
4) The only reason to shut down the recreational fishery was that the FN would not accept early closures on the Fraser to protect these early run fish unless the entire recreational sector was shut down. The Federal government threw the rec sector out as a negotiating point with FN that will do nothing to improve the fishery for them or anyone else. This is the key fact that everyone needs to understand.
5) The decision to shut down the rec sector will effectively put out of business most if not all of the fishing guides and lodges in the impacted areas, cost many Island businesses and communities millions in tourism and other related sport fishing and commercial fishing revenues.
This is the general message we need to stick to. I doubt that less than 5% of the recreational fisherman and 0% of the general public understand this. Instead we get a constant barrage of government, environmental, and our own noise which includes:
1) This is being done to protect the Spring salmon stocks which have been devastated due to overfishing. This is what the general public believes. We need to counter it.
2) We need to save the Spring salmon for the SRKW. Very little evidence that the whale population is declining significantly (the group is within its historical population range) and less evidence that the decline is due to a lack of food. Most evidence has pointed towards high concentrations of PCB's etc. DFO's own scientists concur.
3) We need to kill/cull seals and sea lions. While I agree that they are a huge problem and this would in fact help the situation, we are all delusional if you think that any government or the general public will every get behind this initiative. The only chance to get social license on this would be a FN cull for "ceremonial" purposes but even that is a long shot.
4) It is do to overfishing by commercial boats. We need to quit picking a fight with the Commercial sector. Our interests are very closely aligned and they are also being arbitrarily impacted by this decision. We would both be stronger in presenting a united front.
While many will dispute some of the above and I may have missed some key salient points, I think generally that we need to get a simple, defensible, and easily digestible argument out to the general public and then stay on topic and just keep hammering away. The April - July fishery for 2019 may be toast but there is no reason to give up. My 2 cents.