Nothing will happen- covid has been circulating in the general population for 20 months. Do you think they are capturing all the cases? Look at the R0 and extrapolate it. Every single person on earth has had it or been exposed at this point. For the love of God basic math evades people. Cost benefit analysis on covid rules? would love to see the justification for any of it
Statistics Canada is clearly in disagreement with your analysis.
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/210706/dq210706a-eng.htm
Few Canadians had antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in early 2021
Released: 2021-07-06
At the time of this release (early July 2021), over 35 million total COVID-19 tests, and more than 1.4 million cases of COVID-19 (caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus) have been reported in the total Canadian population (including people living in private households and in institutions). Since not everyone infected with the virus may have been tested, the true number of cases among the total Canadian population is likely higher.
Antibodies are the body's defence against infections from a virus such as SARS-CoV-2. A blood test can be used to detect SARS-CoV-2 antibodies due to a previous infection, or after receiving a COVID-19 vaccine. The proportion of Canadians who have these antibodies is referred to as the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies.
Statistics Canada, in partnership with Canada's COVID-19 Immunity Task Force, the Public Health Agency of Canada and Health Canada, conducted the Canadian COVID-19 Antibody and Health Survey (CCAHS) to better understand the actual spread of the virus in Canada by estimating how many Canadians over the age of 1 and living in private households have antibodies in their blood against the virus. Data were collected from November 2020 to April 2021. First results of the CCAHS show that about 2.6% of Canadians living in private households had antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 due to a past infection.
Few Canadians protected against SARS-CoV-2 during the study period
Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was determined using a new leading-edge laboratory test which, when combined with respondent questionnaire data, was able to distinguish whether the respondent had antibodies due to a past infection from the SARS-CoV-2 virus, or antibodies due to having received a COVID-19 vaccine. Overall, 3.6%, or fewer than 1 in 25 Canadians, had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in their blood from a previous infection or vaccination, which may indicate some degree of protection against future infection from SARS-CoV-2. About 2.6% of Canadians had antibodies due to a past infection, while about 1% of Canadians had antibodies due to a vaccination, reflecting the fact that vaccination was not widespread during the survey period.
A larger proportion of males than females had antibodies due to past infection
Antibody seroprevalence due to a previous infection was slightly higher in males (2.8%) than females (2.4%). Early in the vaccination campaign, women were significantly more likely than men to have been vaccinated. This could explain why nationally, antibody seroprevalence due to vaccination in females (1.5%) was more than three times higher than in males (0.4%). Due to the higher proportion of females having antibodies due to vaccination, overall antibody seroprevalence (due to past infection, having received a vaccine, or both) was slightly higher among women (3.9%) than men (3.3%).
Antibody seroprevalence due to past infection higher in younger age groups
The overall seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was 3.4% among children and youth aged 1 to 19 years. Antibody seroprevalence due to vaccination in this age group was too low to report accurately, therefore nearly all of the antibody seroprevalence observed in Canadians aged 1 to 19 was due to a previous infection. Initially, at least one COVID-19 vaccine was approved by Health Canada for youth aged 16 to 19. However, this age group was not a priority for early vaccination. A COVID-19 vaccine was approved in May 2021 for children aged 12 to 15, after the survey study period.
In comparison, the seroprevalence of antibodies due to past infection among Canadian adults was 2.9% for those aged 20 to 59 and 1.4% for those aged 60 and older. Estimates for the Canadian population aged 60 and older do not include those living in an institutional setting, such as a retirement home or in a long-term care setting.
Taking into account both vaccine-induced and antibodies acquired through a past infection, overall antibody seroprevalence was highest within Canadians adults aged 20 to 59 (4.5%). Among those aged 60 and older, overall antibody seroprevalence was 2.1%.
Antibody seroprevalence due to past infection or vaccine varied across the country
SARS-CoV-2 antibody seroprevalence due to a past infection was higher in
Alberta (4.0%), followed by
Quebec (3.2%), Saskatchewan (2.9%),
Ontario (2.5%), Manitoba (2.4%) and
British Columbia (1.6%). The proportion of Canadian adults aged 20 and older with antibodies due to vaccination was similar across these provinces, accounting for about one in three adults with antibodies.
Taking into account antibody seroprevalence from both vaccination and past infection, Alberta (5.6%) had the highest overall antibody seroprevalence followed by Quebec (4.4%), Saskatchewan (4.1%), Ontario (3.3%), Manitoba (3.1%) and British Columbia (2.4%).
Within the territories and Atlantic regions, antibody seroprevalence due to vaccination accounted for the majority of the antibody seroprevalence. About 1 in 5 (21.1%) territorial residents had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies due to vaccination. Antibody seroprevalence due to past infection was too low to produce a reliable statistical estimate.
The Atlantic Region, which comprises the four Atlantic provinces, had the lowest antibody seroprevalence due to past infection (0.5%), and the lowest overall antibody seroprevalence (1.3%). In this region, about two out of every three adults aged 20 and older with antibodies in their blood had them due to vaccination. To obtain reliable seroprevalence estimates, the four Atlantic provinces were grouped together, as were the three territories.
Visible minority Canadians had a higher antibody seroprevalence due to a past infection than non-visible minorities
Visible minority Canadians (4.3%) had a higher proportion of antibodies acquired through past infection compared to non-visible minority Canadians (2.1%). This contributed to a higher overall SARS-CoV-2 antibody seroprevalence among visible minorities (4.8%) compared to non-visible minorities (3.3%).
One in three Canadians who had SARS-CoV-2 antibodies due to a previous infection had never been tested before
Not all Canadians displaying SARS-CoV-2 antibodies from a previous infection may have known that they had COVID-19. Among Canadians with these antibodies, about one in three (30.3%) reported never having taken a COVID-19 nasal or throat swab test. From this group, three out of four, (76.6%) indicated that it was because they did not have symptoms. While this statistic alone does not estimate the degree of asymptomatic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the population, it does confirm that asymptomatic spread contributed to infection rates.
