Climate: LNG in B.C. vs Alberta tarsands

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Peter Foster: Don’t trust the global warming doomsters and their moral outrage

Fossil fuel development has – contrary to conventional wisdom – gone along with a cleaner environment

Al Gore once suggested that since climate change is a “moral issue,” it is “beyond politics.” You must not question “settled” science or policy “consensus.” You must check your brain at the door, and obey the dictates of, er, politicians.

Moral issues are ultimately about how we treat each other. Those such as Mr. Gore who espouse grim Biblical projections of droughts, floods and plagues of insects, all caused by the malign hand of industrial capitalist man, claim that they are only “speaking up for” poor people both now and in the future. They stand against “intergenerational tyranny.”

But even if one discounts the possibility that these sentiments are reflections of H.L. Mencken’s trenchant observation that the desire to save the world is almost invariably a false front for the urge to rule it, then that still leaves the question of whether catastrophic projections are likely to be true, and the policies proposed likely to be effective.

If anybody doubts that such questions lead to moral opprobrium, check out the online comments on my most recent column. That piece noted that the claim that 2014 was the “hottest year on record” was highly uncertain (as now confirmed by the British Met Office) or, if true, not particularly surprising. I also refuted the notion that for 13 of the past 15 years to be “the hottest years on record” was no more astronomically implausible after a period of warming (man-made or otherwise) than that a person would be taller as an adult than a child.

My reward for these observations was a tsunami of moral outrage. I am apparently not just scientifically ignorant but plain stupid. I am in the pay of the fossil fuel industry, or at least trying to drum up more advertising for the Post from the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. One commentator even suggested that I was probably also opposed to gay rights.

The fundamental “moral” assumption behind all this sturm und drang is that fossil fuels – which are above all a proxy for capitalism — are “unsustainable” and thus morally “bad.” This assumption is well challenged in a recent book, The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels, by Alex Epstein.

Mr. Epstein does an excellent job of outlining the astonishing benefits that the development of coal, oil and natural gas have delivered to mankind: improving health, lengthening lives and facilitating a vast expansion in both material welfare and leisure possibilities. He also notes, with copious data, that fossil fuel development has – contrary to conventional wisdom – gone along with a cleaner environment (China will get there eventually, once it embraces democracy). He explains clearly and logically why wind, solar and biofuels are technological dead ends. He lays out convincingly why attempting to force these technologies on developing countries amounts to a death sentence.

It is sometimes said that Canada has a “moral obligation” to support global initiatives. Stephen Harper has pointed out that he will not support any treaty that pointlessly damages the Canadian economy or fails to include the leading emitters, particularly China. But how, in any case, could there be any moral obligation to sign onto a global agreement that is not merely bad for future generations, who need fossil fuels to flourish, but that destroys wealth and damages freedom right now? It is particularly morally reprehensible to recommend more and bigger versions of policies that have already caused hardship and suffering. Obvious examples are the impact of biofuel policy on food prices, and how the subsidization of expensive and unreliable wind and solar power has driven the very poorest members of Western societies into “fuel poverty.”

Nevertheless, “authority,” itself a moral concept, has been successfully captured, and the ethical high ground has been seized by those who prefer to pour rhetorical boiling oil on those who question them rather than engage in debate.

Mr. Epstein does a fine job of exposing how professional doomsters such as Mr. Gore, Paul Ehrlich, James Hansen and Bill McKibben have been as mendacious as they have been wrong. But the really fascinating issue is the moral mindset that makes these thundering Jeremiahs – and their acolytes — seemingly impervious to rational arguments and objective evidence. Thus the one area where Mr. Epstein’s book may fall short is in making the case promised in the title. Making a practical, rational case is not synonymous with making a moral case, or at least one that will convert diehard opponents.

Morality is based on feelings, which means that it doesn’t make people think very clearly or logically. In fact, it often stops them from thinking at all. That makes moral psychology one of the most fascinating – and contentious — of the social sciences.

Mr. Epstein’s book is well worth reading on its own terms, but it raises issues that demand much further and deeper analysis of our “moral sentiments.” The Catch 22 lies in the fact that, due to the nature of morality, such analysis is likely to be ignored, or angrily refuted.

And now I stand ready for my next dose of boiling oil.

http://business.financialpost.com/2...-you-cant-trust-the-global-warming-doomsters/


The comments perfectly sum up his point.

Gore game.jpg
 
Peter Foster: Don’t trust the global warming doomsters and their moral outrage

I am apparently not just scientifically ignorant but plain stupid.
Yup he nailed it..... His words not mine.
CK you want to join him?

Someone should ask how that law suit was going?
Oh yea ... convicted and has to pay $50,000 for making stuff up.
Think he has an axe to grind?
http://www.courts.gov.bc.ca/jdb-txt/SC/15/01/2015BCSC0165.htm


If you want to look at the morals on climate change why not go to the religious leaders?
What was it that the Pope said?
I think it was "get your heads out of the sand and fix this"
 
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Left Wing Environmentalists: Watch out everyone, this is going to kill you!

Everyone: Oh no! What do we do?

LWE: Quick pay more taxes!

Everyone: OK, here you go!

LWE: Just kidding. That probably won’t kill you, but this will!

Everyone: AHHHH!

LWE: No, OK, not that. But this!

Everyone: Dear Lord, help us!

LWE: Alright, never mind, we dodged that bullet. But this new thing will definitely wipe us out!

Everyone: We’re so afraid!

LWE: Scratch that. It’s this. This will do it!

Everyone: Uh, OK, we’re starting to get a little skeptical –

LWE: WHY DO YOU HATE SCIENCE?

http://www.theblaze.com/contributions/climate-change-deniers-are-completely-insane/
 
[jKIYRE2w4qI]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jKIYRE2w4qI#t=54
 
[LdnZ1l5TxJk]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdnZ1l5TxJk
 
Here you go. Guess they will find a few here, LOL.
‘Anti-petroleum’ movement a growing security threat to Canada, RCMP say

The RCMP has labelled the “anti-petroleum” movement as a growing and violent threat to Canada’s security, raising fears among environmentalists that they face increased surveillance, and possibly worse, under the Harper government’s new terrorism legislation.

In highly charged language that reflects the government’s hostility toward environmental activists, an RCMP intelligence assessment warns that foreign-funded groups are bent on blocking oil sands expansion and pipeline construction, and that the extremists in the movement are willing to resort to violence.

“There is a growing, highly organized and well-financed anti-Canada petroleum movement that consists of peaceful activists, militants and violent extremists who are opposed to society’s reliance on fossil fuels,” concludes the report which is stamped “protected/Canadian eyes only” and is dated Jan. 24, 2014. The report was obtained by Greenpeace.

“If violent environmental extremists engage in unlawful activity, it jeopardizes the health and safety of its participants, the general public and the natural environment.”

The government has tabled Bill C-51, which provides greater power to the security agencies to collect information on and disrupt the activities of suspected terrorist groups. While Prime Minister Stephen Harper has identified the threat as violent extremists motivated by radical Islamic views, the legislation would also expand the ability of government agencies to infiltrate environmental groups on the suspicion that they are promoting civil disobedience or other criminal acts to oppose resource projects.

The legislation identifies “activity that undermines the security of Canada” as anything that interferes with the economic or financial stability of Canada or with the country’s critical infrastructure, though it excludes lawful protest or dissent. And it allows the Canadian Security and Intelligence Service to take measures to reduce what it perceives to be threats to the security of Canada.

The British Columbia Civil Liberties Association has already launched challenges to the RCMP complaints commission and the Security Intelligence Review Committee – which oversees the Canadian Security Intelligence Service – over alleged surveillance of groups opposed to the construction of the proposed Northern Gateway pipeline in B.C.

“These kind of cases involving environmental groups – or anti-petroleum groups as the RCMP likes to frame them – are really the sharp end of the stick in terms of Bill C-51,” said Paul Champ, a civil liberties lawyer who is handling the BCCLA complaints. “With respect to Bill C-51, I and other groups have real concerns it is going to target not just terrorists who are involved in criminal activity, but people who are protesting against different Canadian government policies.”

RCMP spokesman Sergeant Greg Cox insisted the Mounties do not conduct surveillance unless there is suspicion of criminal conduct.

“As part of its law enforcement mandate the RCMP does have the requirement to identify and investigate criminal threats, including those to critical infrastructure and at public events,” Sgt. Cox said in an e-mailed statement. “There is no focus on environmental groups, but rather on the broader criminal threats to Canada’s critical infrastructure. The RCMP does not monitor any environmental protest group. Its mandate is to investigate individuals involved in criminality.”

But Sgt. Cox would not comment on the tone of the January, 2014, assessment that suggests opposition to resource development runs counter to Canada’s national interest and links groups such as Greenpeace, Tides Canada and the Sierra Club to growing militancy in the “anti-petroleum movement.”

The report extolls the value of the oil and gas sector to the Canadian economy, and adds that many environmentalists “claim” that climate change is the most serious global environmental threat, and “claim” it is a direct consequence of human activity and is “reportedly” linked to the use of fossil fuels. It echoes concerns first raised by Finance Minister Joe Oliver that environmental groups are foreign-funded and are working against the interests of Canada by opposing development.

“This document identifies anyone who is concerned about climate change as a potential, if not actual – the lines are very blurry – ‘anti-petroleum extremist’ looking to advance their ‘anti-petroleum ideology,’” said Keith Stewart, a climate campaigner for Greenpeace.

“The parts that are genuinely alarming about this document are how it lays the groundwork for all kinds of state-sanctioned surveillance and dirty tricks should C-51 be passed,” he said.

A spokeswoman for Public Safety Canada said Bill C-51 does not change the definition of what constitutes a threat to Canadian security, and added CSIS does not investigate lawful dissent.

“CSIS has a good track record of distinguishing genuine threats to the security of Canada from other activities,” Public Safety Canada’s Josée Sirois said. “The independent reports of the Security Intelligence Review Committee attest to CSIS’s compliance with the law.”
 
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You are funny. YOU said the world would stop due to MAN MADE global warming and YOU said it is so and therefore we had better agree, no arguments allowed.
You have not proved your point yet as the earth has not changed like you and yours projected it would.
Therefore YOU who with your group who project all this doom and gloom are looking pretty bad.
All your groups projections are not doing well are they?
I will be glad to go back and rerun them for you if you like.
You and yours are far from winning the argument.
And the last time they think it was open was 2.6 million years ago, give or take a million.
There was no snow there then they say. But that is still a guess.




So what your saying is look at all this (hand waving) but lets talk about anything other then the Arctic sea ice is going to disappear in the summer, at some soon to be, point in time. That way I win the argument.....

Answer the questions
 

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http://www.pressprogress.ca/en/post...p-intelligence-report-anti-petroleum-movement
Feb 17, 2015 by PressProgress

9 weirdest things about this RCMP intelligence report on the "anti-petroleum movement"

The Mounties always get their man.

But a newly disclosed intelligence assessment from the RCMP looking at the "anti-Canada petroleum movement" suggests the same might not always be true about their facts.

First reported in La Presse, and again Monday in the Globe and Mail, the RCMP report dated January 2014 warns of "a growing, highly organized and well-financed anti-Canada petroleum movement that consists of peaceful activists, militants and violent extremists who are opposed to society's reliance on fossil fuels."

The report surfaces amidst fresh debate in Parliament over the Tories new anti-terror legislation and its potential use against groups involved in peaceful protest and legitimate dissent. The Harper government already has a proven track record for gathering intelligence on opponents of the oil sands.

While an RCMP spokesman assured the Globe that "there is no focus on environmental groups, but rather on the broader criminal threats to Canada's critical infrastructure," the report states that "within the anti-petroleum environmental movement, the law enforcement and security intelligence communities have detected a small, but violent-prone faction" who are capable of engaging "in criminal activitiy to attempt to shut down the Canadian petroleum industry."

But a closer look at the intelligence assessment reveals much of the report relies on information patched together from sources like oil industry lobbyists and media outlets sympathetic to the oil industry -- in some cases leading to bizarre conclusions.

1. The RCMP labels environmentalism as the "anti-petroleum movement"

A little inflammatory? Even the Globe and Mail found this "highly charged language."

An RCMP spokesman "would not comment on the tone" of the assessment, which the Globe adds "suggests opposition to resource develpment runs counter to Canada's national interest" and links well-known enviromental NGOs "to growing militancy in the 'anti-petroleum movement'."

2. They lead off their "background" section by quoting oil lobbyists

The world needs oil? Really?

Has the Harper government's cuts left the RCMP so hard up for cash that they've turned their intelligence reports into advertorials?

3. They cite a poll conducted by a think tank headed by oilmen and connected to the birth of the Reform Party

The assessment goes on to cite a 2013 poll conducted by the Canada West Foundation, a right-leaning think tank founded by individuals linked to the oil industry and connected to the Reform Party in the 1980s.

"The message is clear," the pollster says, "Canadians overwhelmingly support continued oil sands development."

Not included in the RCMP's backgrounder is their finding that "barely one-third agree that the oil and gas industry does a good job of respecting the views of local communities affected by resource development."

4. Greenhouse gas emissions are "reportedly" linked to fossil fuels

The assessment also assumes a tone of skepticism towards environmental science that is clearly absent in the RCMP's glowing review of the virtues of the oil indistury.

Qualifying the positions of environmentalists with tentative words like "claim" and "reportedly," the RCMP assessment goes so far as to suggest representatives of the "anti-Canadian petroleum movement" say greenhouse gas emissions are "reportedly" linked to fossil fuels.

Does anyone on either side of the debate actually dispute that burning fossil fuels produces, say, carbon dioxide? Environment Canada sure doesn't. This is basic science.

5. Quote attributed to scientist re: Social Media is used completely out-of-context

Looking at "the increasing impact of social media," the RCMP assessment claims the "anti-Canadian petroleum movement" is using social media to "mobilize young people," a point backed up by Oxford University professor Dr. Alan McHughen -- who expresses concern that "impressionable students" who wish to "save the planet" are being targeted.

Except this is completely wrong: McHughen wasn't talking about the 'anti-petroleum' movement, he was talking about genetically modified food in a National Post article titled "Who's afraid of GMOs?"

6. Social media is being used to "exaggerate" claims

The assessment adds that social media is being used to "exaggerate" environmental damage and "challenge" the integrity of the oil industry:

The footnote leads to an unsourced list of 'claims' and 'facts' that claims the oil sands account for less than five per cent of Canada's emissions and less than 0.1% the the world's total greenhouse gas emissions. Not even Natural Resources Canada's own numbers make such glowing claims:

7. Cites blog of grad student who also wrote about privacy concerns re: being labelled as an extremist and monitored by the federal government

Likewise, to elaborate on how the internet is being used to challenge the oil industry, the assessment cites the findings found on a Dalhousie University grad student's blog:

Interestingtly, a cursory review of this source shows the same student's MA thesis discusses how some internet users are concerned about "being labelled as an extremist by the Canadian federal government" based on online activity relating to the oil industry:

"...some participants expressed concern about publicly tweeting opposition to the oil sands and pipeline. Specifically, they indicated that they were concerned about being labelled as an extremist by the Canadian federal government based on what they were tweeting on the oil sands and the pipeline and their use of the hashtag #tarsands. In fact, two interview participants suspected that their online activity, including their tweets on the oil sands and pipeline, were being monitored by the federal government."

8. Financial data on environmental groups entirely from the Financial Post

The assessment's data on the funding sources of environmental groups also relies entirely on one article by Vivian Krause, a critic of the environmental movement whom has been described as "one of the most controversial figures in the rather incredible battle shaping up over the Northern Gateway pipeline" by the Vancouver Sun's Peter O'Neil.

Might not want to rely too heavily on the Financial Post, though.

9. The RCMP is actually relying on Toronto Sun opinion columnists for intel?

Are Toronto Sun columnist's opinions on the "real agenda" of environmentalists really useful intelligence?
 
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Here you go. Guess they will find a few here, LOL.
‘Anti-petroleum’ movement a growing security threat to Canada, RCMP say

The RCMP has labelled the “anti-petroleum” movement as a growing and violent threat to Canada’s security, raising fears among environmentalists that they face increased surveillance, and possibly worse, under the Harper government’s new terrorism legislation.

And you wonder why I call into question your critical think skills...
Any bill that effects freedom of speech and freedom of assembly needs to be looked at very closely.
You are playing checkers at a chess math.

At some point in time it might be you they are watching...
 
You are funny. YOU said the world would stop due to MAN MADE global warming and YOU said it is so and therefore we had better agree, no arguments allowed.
You have not proved your point yet as the earth has not changed like you and yours projected it would.
Therefore YOU who with your group who project all this doom and gloom are looking pretty bad.
All your groups projections are not doing well are they?
I will be glad to go back and rerun them for you if you like.
You and yours are far from winning the argument.
And the last time they think it was open was 2.6 million years ago, give or take a million.
There was no snow there then they say. But that is still a guess.

Do you have a source for that?
Do you not think that might be a problem?
Or does this back up your claim that the climate always changes just like 2.6 million years ago.
 
LOL, you need to read it again. It is all about you.



And you wonder why I call into question your critical think skills...
Any bill that effects freedom of speech and freedom of assembly needs to be looked at very closely.
You are playing checkers at a chess math.

At some point in time it might be you they are watching...
 

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LOL, you need to read it again. It is all about you.

perhaps read this then "Mr. Smarter Pants"

http://news.nationalpost.com/2015/0...ror-bill-will-lead-to-lawsuits-embarrassment/
Former CSIS officer Francois Lavigne is alarmed by the Conservative government’s new anti-terror bill.
He believes the measures proposed in C-51 are unnecessary, a threat to the rights of Canadians and that the prime minister is using fascist techniques to push the bill.


Like I said OBD your playing checkers when the game is chess....

HarperValentine_600px.jpg
 
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“This document identifies anyone who is concerned about climate change as a potential, if not actual – the lines are very blurry – ‘anti-petroleum extremist’ looking to advance their ‘anti-petroleum ideology,’” said Keith Stewart, a climate campaigner for Greenpeace.
That fit you?





perhaps read this then "Mr. Smarter Pants"

http://news.nationalpost.com/2015/0...ror-bill-will-lead-to-lawsuits-embarrassment/
Former CSIS officer Francois Lavigne is alarmed by the Conservative government’s new anti-terror bill.
He believes the measures proposed in C-51 are unnecessary, a threat to the rights of Canadians and that the prime minister is using fascist techniques to push the bill.


Like I said OBD your playing checkers when the game is chess....

HarperValentine_600px.jpg
 
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The UN Climate End Game

Guest opinion by David Archibald

“Everybody Wants To Rule The World” was a 1985 song by Tears For Fears. Now in 2015, a number of parties are doing their best to that end – ISIS in the Middle East, Russia chewing up the Ukraine, China in the East and South China Seas and the UN Climate Change Commission. A draft document out of Geneva gives details of the UN plan to rule the world.

clip_image001
Christiana Figueres is on the right in this photo, but far left politically.

For most of us, the memorable thing from the Lima climate late last year was Greenpeace’s despoiling of an ancient Nazca figure of a hummingbird.

But the Lima conference has been quickly followed by another in Geneva. The purpose of the latter conference was to produce the negotiating text for the climate conference to be held in Paris in December. The Geneva meeting was conducted in a rush with no opening statements, even by the head of the UNFCCC, Christiana Figueres. Ms. Figueres expectation of the climate treaty coming is that it will be “a centralised transformation” that “is going to make the life of everyone on the planet very different”.

Just how different is shown by snippets of the Paris negotiating text. Let’s start with this one from page 5:

“All Parties to strive to achieve low greenhouse gas climate-resilient economies and societies, on the basis of equity and in accordance with their historical responsibilities, common but differentiated responsibilities / evolving common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities, in order to achieve sustainable development, poverty eradication and prosperity for the benefit of present and future generations of humankind, taking fully into account the historical responsibility of developed country Parties.”

Animal Farm was supposed to be a cautionary tale about communism. The UN has taken “All animals are created equal but some are more equal than others.” and turned into “All countries are common but some are more differentiated than others.”

How will the UN determine how much one country might be differentiated from another? That is explained on page 85:

“In reviewing and revising Annex I to the Convention, the total amount of greenhouse gases, expressed in carbon dioxide equivalent, emitted by a Party to the Convention since 1750 A.D. shall be added and divided by the current population of that Party. Based on the thus obtained per capita greenhouse gas emissions and population size of each Party to the Convention, the average global per capita emissions of greenhouse gases shall be used to evaluate the status of the greenhouse gas emissions of a Party to the Convention. Each Party to the Convention whose per capita greenhouse gas emissions exceed the global average per capita greenhouse gas emissions shall be proposed to be inscribed in Annex I to the Convention, and the remaining Parties shall not be proposed to be inscribed in Annex I to the Convention.”

Why 1750? Are the sins of the fathers are to be visited their sons even unto the 11th generation, which is us? Climate treaties used to be based on 1990 as the start date because that was convenient to the Europeans as the fall of communism in that year had curbed their coal consumption. The European countries were going to be the easy treaty compliers while the US was punished. That was the plan at the beginning. But now it is changed to 1750.

The significance of Annex 1 is that if you are on it, you will be paying for the whole circus – US$100 billion per annum for kleptocracies. What if you don’t want to be on Annex 1, because you know that global warming is nonsense or something? What might happen is hinted at on page 8:

“Option 4: Decides that the developed country Parties shall not resort to any form of unilateral measures against goods and services from developing country Parties on any grounds related to climate change, recalling the principles and provisions of the Convention”

The option says that developing countries are not to have unilateral measures taken against them but who would bother doing that? The implied target is elsewhere. Countries that are allocated to Annex 1 but don’t cough up the cash might have unilateral measures taken against them by “developed country Parties”.

Australia signed up for the UN climate treaty in 2007. Canada pulled out in 2011 and Russia and Japan have rejected new targets after 2012. Perhaps the US will keep us free – Ms Figueres has said that the US Congress is “very detrimental” to the fight against global warming.

So that is why the global warming scare is so hard to kill. The end game is world domination. With such a big prize – the biggest possible, facts aren’t even inconvenient. They are not part of the process. It has been a long slog but gird your loins for a battle that might last into mid-century. Lima was COP 20 and Ms Figueres is prepared to take it to COP 40.

David Archibald, a visiting fellow at the Institute of World Politics in Washington, D.C., is the author of Twilight of Abundance (Regnery, 2014)
 
Drowning In An Ocean Of Misinformation?

Making waves out of nothing
Making waves out of nothing at all.
The oceans are dying, says . . . just about everyone. Well at least the New York Times, which reported last month that “Ocean Life Faces Mass Extinction, Broad Study Says.” And the Times never makes any factual mistakes; I checked to make sure this story wasn’t from Gail Collins.

But to my amazement, there’s a broad study out in the latest issue of BioScience, a premier journal in the Oxford University family, written by eight scientists from universities on several continents, that bravely takes issue with the conventional wisdom. “Reconsidering Ocean Calamities” argues that there is an “absence of robust evidence” for many of the most common claims about ocean perils. Even though the article is written in the usual dry and technical language of scientific journal articles, it is not hard to make out that the authors think a lot of the popular claims, such as ocean acidification, are exaggerated or badly overestimated. It takes direct aim at some of the leading catastrophist journal articles:

However, an analysis of some of the calamities reported in doom and gloom media accounts (e.g., table 1) shows some—at times, severe—disconnect with actual observations. For instance, there is no evidence that ocean acidification has killed jellyfish predators, nor that jellyfish are taking over the ocean, and predictions that the killer algae, Caulerpa taxifolia, was going to devastate the Mediterranean ecosystem have not been realized, despite claims to the contrary from the media (table 1). It may be, therefore, that some of the calamities composing the syndrome of collapse of coastal ecosystems may not be as severe as is portrayed in some accounts. . .

[W]e contend that the marine research community may not have remained sufficiently skeptical in sending and receiving information on the problems caused by human pressures in the ocean and that there is a need to revisit the process by which potential or isolated problems escalate to the status of ocean calamities. . .

The authors walk through a number of purported ocean calamities, debunking or qualifying them one by one. Of special note is their argument about ocean acidification from CO2:

[T]here have been a few claims for already realized impacts of ocean acidification on calcifiers, such as a decline in the number of oysters on the West Coast of North America (Barton et al. 2012) and in Chesapeake Bay (Waldbusser et al. 2011). However, the link between these declines and ocean acidification through anthropogenic CO2 is unclear. Corrosive waters affecting oysters in hatcheries along the Oregon coast were associated with upwelling (Barton et al. 2012), not anthropogenic CO2. The decline in pH affecting oysters in Chesapeake Bay (Waldbusser et al. 2011) was not attributable to anthropogenic CO2 but was likely attributable to excess respiration associated with eutrophication. Therefore, there is, as yet, no robust evidence for realized severe disruptions of marine socioecological links from ocean acidification to anthropogenic CO2, and there are significant uncertainties regarding the level of pH change that would prompt such impacts.

Ditto for coral bleaching:

[D]espite the strong mechanistic or physiological basis for a role of warming in coral bleaching and coral growth, a robust demonstration of a direct causal link between global warming and global coral bleaching over decadal time scales has not yet been produced.

They don’t hold back with their closing arguments:

[O]nce hypothetical problems have risen to the status of calamities in the literature, they seem to become self-perpetuating. Indeed, the marine research community seems much better endowed with the capacity to add new calamities to the list than they are to remove them following critical scrutiny. As an example, the newest calamity extends the problem of the expansion of coastal hypoxia to a concept of global ocean deoxygenation (Keeling et al. 2010). The possible explanation that the list of calamities only experiences growth because all calamities are real is inconsistent with the examples provided above that some of them may not withstand close scrutiny. The alternative explanation is that there are flaws in the processes in place to sanction scientific evidence, such as organized skepticism, that need to be addressed to help weed out robust from weak cases for ocean calamities. . .

The rise of ocean calamities has generated a worldview in which a host of ecological syndromes resulting from human-driven pressures is leading to the collapse of the ocean. The addition of new problems, such as new invasive species, ocean acidification and deoxygenation, or the perils from plastic pollution, to the litany validates and strengthens this worldview, forming a more compelling case for action to reduce human pressures. Although reducing human pressures on the marine environment is a positive outcome, this may provide a motivation to inadvertently—or, in worst cases, deliberately—fall into the white hat bias, defined as “bias leading to distortion of information in the service of what may be perceived to be righteous ends” (Cope and Allison 2009, p. 84). Clearly, no righteous end justifies the perpetuation of scientific bias. . .

Most important, we should remain skeptical and, in exerting organized skepticism, will ensure a depiction of global ocean problems devoid of unsupported claims and statements, which will help organize management and policy options targeting the most pressing problems to limit the deterioration and to provide effective stewardship of the oceans.

I sure hope all of the authors of this paper have tenure.

Source
 
Bad News For Warmists: Sun Has Entered 'Weakest Solar Cycle In A Century'

The conceit that human production of carbon dioxide is capable of driving the earth’s climate is running smack into the sun. CO2 accounts for a mere 0.039% of the atmosphere, while the sun accounts for 99.86% of all of the mass in our entire solar system. And Ol’ Sol is not taking the insult lightly. Vencore Weather reports:

For the past 5 days, solar activity has been very low and one measure of solar activity – its X-ray output – has basically flatlined in recent days (plot below courtesy NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center). Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots.

194118

We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and today the sun is virtually spotless despite the fact that we are still in what is considered to be its solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century.

194119

There are several possible consequences to the solar quiet. The first is counterintuitive:

By all Earth-based measures of geomagnetic and geoeffective solar activity, this cycle has been extremely quiet. However, while a weak solar cycle does suggest strong solar storms will occur less often than during stronger and more active cycles, it does not rule them out entirely. In fact, the famous Carrington Event of 1859 occurred during a weak solar cycle (#10) [http://thesiweather.com/2014/09/02/...r-superstorm-that-took-places-155-years-ago/]. In addition, there is some evidence that most large events such as strong solar flares and significant geomagnetic storms tend to occur in the declining phase of the solar cycle. In other words, there is still a chance for significant solar activity in the months and years ahead.

Our dependence on electronic devices is such that extreme solar events could have serious consequences. However, it is the likely impact on atmospheric temperatures that threatens the “consensus” on global warming:

…if history is a guide, it is safe to say that weak solar activity for a prolonged period of time can have a negative impact on global temperatures in the troposphere which is the bottom-most layer of Earth’s atmosphere - and where we all live. There have been two notable historical periods with decades-long episodes of low solar activity. The first period is known as the “Maunder Minimum”, named after the solar astronomer Edward Maunder, and it lasted from around 1645 to 1715. The second one is referred to as the “Dalton Minimum”, named for the English meteorologist John Dalton, and it lasted from about 1790 to 1830. Both of these historical periods coincided with below-normal global temperatures in an era now referred to by many as the “Little Ice Age”. In addition, research studies in just the past couple of decades have found a complicated relationship between solar activity, cosmic rays, and clouds on Earth. This research suggests that in times of low solar activity where solar winds are typically weak; more cosmic rays reach the Earth’s atmosphere which, in turn, has been found to lead to an increase in certain types of clouds that can act to cool the Earth.

It is common sense to believe that the sun has more influence on global temperatures than a trace gas. With a 17 year “pause” in the predicted outcomes of an increase in atmospheric CO2, warmists face more and more awkward questions. If temperatures actually decline as a result of an expected decrease in solar activity, at some point the game will be up, and the billions of dollars a year squandered on climate modeling that doesn’t predict what happens will have to dry up.

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Antarctic Volcano Mount Erebus "Wakes Up

erebus jan 2015
Major volcanic eruptions, such as the recent one in Iceland, capture our imagination and make worldwide news headlines. Conversely, moderate volcanic activity is typically uninteresting to the public and therefore never makes media headlines, with one important exception….volcanic activity in Antarctica.

Antarctica’s Mount Erebus cleared its magma-swollen throat on December 5, 2014, as evidenced by the occurrence of multiple earthquakes and increased volcanic activity within its massive 12,448-foot high summit (photo above). Erebus has maintained a moderate level of volcanic activity since fulltime monitoring began in 1972, punctuated by more active pulses (1984, 1993, 2001, 2005, and 2015).

When it was discovered in 1841 by polar explorer Sir James Clark Ross, it was noted to be erupting at that time. It was subsequently named after one of Ross’ two ships, the HMS Erebus. A second, albeit inactive, volcano found 19 miles west of Mount Erebus was named Mount Terror, after Ross’ second ship.

Since December 2014, earthquake swarms have continued unabated as Mount Erebus emits significantly greater amounts of heat and associated gases, frequently ejects small lava bombs, and provides resident scientists and sightseers with frequent ash plume displays.

Volcanologists have utilized sound energy from Mount Erebus’ earthquakes to reconstruct a three-dimensional picture of the volcano’s magma chamber’s depth and extent. Research published in May of 2012 by New Mexico Tech shows that as of 2008 the main magma chamber was active (not dormant), likely at a shallow depth (approximately 4,000 feet below the summit), and more than a half-mile wide. Additionally, an earthquake sound imaging technique assisted in the mapping of the volcano’s internal guts, a complex network of deep faults. These faults connect to, and are part of, the giant West Antarctic Rift System. They act as conduits to feed lava upward and into Mount Erebus from deep mantle sources.

The West Antarctic Rift System is 3,000-mile long world-class “divergent” tectonic plate boundary that is literally ripping the Antarctic continent a part (Figure 1).

figure 1

Figure 1

A west-to-east crosscut view of the rift is shown in the Figure 2 seismic line. Seismic utilizes downward directed manually generated sound energy, typically using surface-based explosive dynamite charges, to generate an accurate picture of objects below the surface.

The seismic line clearly shows numerous deep faults associated with the Cape Roberts Rift Basin portion of the West Antarctic Rift System, fault connection to potential deep mantle heat and fluid sources, and the pull-a-part nature of the rift system (Figure 2).

figure 2

Figure 2

The power and extent of the West Antarctic Rift System is also exemplified by the recent and fortuitous discovery of several sub-glacial “active” volcanoes. In January 2010 and March 2011 scientists from Washington University and St Louis measured earthquake swarms 10 to 15 kilometers beneath thick glacial ice cover. These swarms are proven good mapping proxies for the geographic position and activity of deep sub-glacial volcanoes.

Even more telling is recent research that found distinctive volcanic eruption ash layers within Antarctic glacial ice cores dated at 23,000 and 45,000 years ago. These ash layers confirm the time and power of two major sub-glacial volcanic eruptions located along the West Antarctic Rift System, which triggered a sudden and massive heat flow release thereby melting huge quantities of overlying glacial ice.

This brief description of Antarctica’s volcanic history paints a very clear picture that the vast West Antarctic Rift and Volcanic System, including Mount Erebus, packs a tangible heat-flow punch.

The West Antarctic Rift System is responsible for other notable glacial melting and ocean heating events as summarized below and detailed in previous posting: (West Antarctica Ice Sheet Melting From Geothermal Heat, Not Global Warming).

1.) Thwaites Glacier Melting: University of Texas researchers recently published an extensive study that proves geologically induced sub-glacial geothermal heat flow is melting this glacier from below.

2.) Sub-glacial freshwater lake and stream hydraulic system: Significant amounts of research, sub-glacial wells, and observations have proven this system is widespread, interconnected, contains numerous hot springs, and most importantly, is associated with a West Antarctic Rift System heat source. This is an astounding discovery of major significance because it is yet another confirmation of the overlooked power and influence of regional geologically induced sub-glacial heat flow. The very recent discovery of several sub-glacial freshwater lakes in Greenland may just be well…the tip of the iceberg. Research has shown that basal geologically induced heat flow is present here as well (Greenland Ice Melt Geothermal, Not Manmade).

3.) Deep Ocean Rift Volcanoes: The West Antarctic Rift System continues both north and south of the continent into the deep ocean where it is actively emitting heat into and thereby warming the overlying ocean. Scientists continue to discover many of these deep ocean volcanoes. A very recent example is research done in 2011 that located deep submarine mountains just north of Antarctica (Figure 3).

figure 3

Figure 3

A chain of giant, undersea volcanoes has been found off Antarctica, scientists say.

All told a dozen previously unknown peaks were discovered beneath the waves—some up to 10,000 feet (3,000 meters) tall, according to the British Antarctic Survey.

The volcanoes were found near the U.K. territories of the South Georgia Islands and South Sandwich Islands (see map) during a month long mapping expedition, which used multibeam sonar to fill in a 370-mile (600-kilometer) by 90-mile (150-kilometer) gap in existing seabed maps.

"It was amazing finding them," said Phil Leat, a geologist volcanologist with the survey. "There were so many of these volcanoes we had no idea about."

Also important is the fact that the still active volcanoes have hydrothermal vents (see video) that provide unique habitats for life, some of which might be analogous to organisms that might survive around hot springs on other worlds, such as Jupiter's Europa.

In addition, the volcanoes' rocky slopes provide excellent habitat for fish and other marine organisms.

"They're almost like coral reefs," Leat said.

"There's no coral, but they are habitats for life. When we've looked in these areas before, we've found new species”

Connection to the giant West Antarctic Rift System is the key geological component that fuels Mount Erebus, and also numerous other Antarctic heating events. It is likely that on-going West Antarctic volcanism and related heat flow should be included as a prominent element of any theory that tries to explain Antarctic glacial melting.

Those supporting the global warming theory, NASA, NOAA, IPCC, and the Obama administration, have flooded the media with reports that rapid West Antarctic glacial melting is clearly and unequivocally caused by manmade global warming of the oceans and atmosphere.

Overwhelming amounts of credible evidence strongly indicates, if not proves, that geologically induced heat flow from the West Antarctic Rift System is melting glaciers from beneath. Rift System faults provide a conduit to deep mantle heat. This is the key geological component that fuels Mount Erebus, and numerous other Antarctic heating events.

An alternative reason for West Antarctic glacial melting is the Plate Climatology Theory (PCT), which provides plausible geological explanations that are testable, observable, and reproducible. While no theory is perfect (hence the term), PCT doesn’t rely on faulty computer models, the latter having failed miserably at predicting the lack of global warming for 18-plus years based on satellite observations.

The reawakening of Mount Erebus is just another piece in a nearly completed geological heat flow puzzle.

Wake Up! Join us by informing politicians and the media that you do not agree with the notion manmade global warming is the proven and consensus theory.

James Edward Kamis is a Geologist and AAPG member of 40 years and has always been fascinated by the connection between Geology and Climate. Years of research / observation have convinced him that the Earth’s Heat Flow Engine, which drives the outer crustal plates, is also an important driver of the Earth’s climate. To contact James directly, use the Contact Us page.

References:

http://www.smithsonianmag.com/land/antarctica-erupts-140405968/?no-ist

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/...ano-earthquakes-erupt-sea-level-rise-science/

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/...dersea-volcanoes-antarctica-science-tsunamis/

http://www.livescience.com/31434-antarctic-volcano-insides-imaged.html

http://www.climatechangedispatch.co...-from-geothermal-heat-not-global-warming.html.

http://www.livescience.com/31434-antarctic-volcano-insides-imaged.html).
 

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New paper demonstrates East Antarctica was ~3.5-4°C warmer than the present during the last interglacial

A new paper in Climate of the Past Discussions finds from high-resolution ice core data from East Antarctica that temperatures were 3.5-4°C warmer during the last interglacial (~130,000 years ago) than during the present interglacial (the past ~18,000 years).

The IPCC claims warming of over 2°C (an arbitrary figure 'plucked out of thin air') will lead to irreversible and catastrophic "tipping points" or positive feedbacks from which Gaia cannot recover. However, the ice core data from prior interglacials demonstrates this is not the case, and that both Greenland and Antarctica recovered from warming of 8°C and 4°C higher (respectively) during the last interglacial and relative to 1950, and both ice sheets are much larger today than during the past interglacial.

In addition, the ice core data demonstrates that such dramatic changes at the poles occur by entirely natural means and thus, there is no evidence that the (less) dramatic climate changes seen during the current interglacial are unnatural, unusual, or unprecedented.


Second graph from top shows reconstructed temperatures at 2 ice core sites in East Antarctica. Horizontal axis is thousands of years before 1950. Note surface temperatures have warmed about 0.5C since 1950.

Climate dependent contrast in surface mass balance in East Antarctica over the past 216 kyr

F. Parrenin1,2, S. Fujita3,4, A. Abe-Ouchi5,6, K. Kawamura3,4, V. Masson-Delmotte7, H. Motoyama3,4, F. Saito5, M. Severi8, B. Stenni9, R. Uemura10, and E. Wolff11
1CNRS, LGGE, 38041 Grenoble, France
2Univ. Grenoble Alpes, LGGE, 38041 Grenoble, France
3National Institute of Polar Research, Research Organization of Information and Systems, Tokyo, Japan
4Department of Polar Science, The Graduate University for Advanced Studies (SOKENDAI), Tokyo, Japan
5Japan Agency for Marine–Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan
6Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan
7Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, UMR CEA-CNRS-UVSQ 8212, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
8Department of Chemistry, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
9Department of Geosciences, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
10Department Chemistry, Biology and Marine Science, Faculty of Science, University of the Ryukyus, Okinawa, Japan
11Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, UK
Abstract. Documenting past changes in the East Antarctic surface mass balance is important to improve ice core chronologies and to constrain the ice sheet contribution to global mean sea level. Here we reconstruct the past changes in the ratio of surface mass balance (SMB ratio) between the EPICA Dome C (EDC) and Dome Fuji (DF) East Antarctica ice core sites, based on a precise volcanic synchronisation of the two ice cores and on corrections for the vertical thinning of layers. During the past 216 000 years, this SMB ratio, denoted SMBEDC/SMBDF, varied between 0.7 and 1.1, decreasing during cold periods and increasing during warm periods. While past climatic changes have been depicted as homogeneous along the East Antarctic Plateau, our results reveal larger amplitudes of changes in SMB at EDC compared to DF, consistent with previous results showing larger amplitudes of changes in water stable isotopes and estimated surface temperature at EDC compared to DF. Within interglacial periods and during the last glacial inception (Marine Isotope Stages, MIS-5c and MIS-5d), the SMB ratio deviates by up to 30% from what is expected based on differences in water stable isotope records. Moreover, the SMB ratio is constant throughout the late parts of the current and last interglacial periods, despite contrasting isotopic trends. These SMB ratio changes not closely related to isotopic changes are one of the possible causes of the observed gaps between the ice core chronologies at DF and EDC. Such changes in SMB ratio may have been caused by (i) climatic processes related to changes in air mass trajectories and local climate, (ii) glaciological processes associated with relative elevation changes, or (iii) a combination of climatic and glaciological processes, such as the interaction between changes in accumulation and in the position of the domes. Our inferred SMB ratio history has important implications for ice sheet mo
 

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You guys spend so much time on this. Get outside and enjoy global warming already !:D
 
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