UBC study establishes formula for predicting clima

Sushihunter

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http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2008-11/uobc-use111208.php


UBC study establishes formula for predicting climate change impact on salmon stocks

University of British Columbia researchers have found a way to accurately predict the impact of climate change on imperilled Pacific salmon stocks that could result in better management strategies.

The findings, among the first to quantify a relationship between river temperature and salmon mortality rate, are published in the current issue of the journal Physiological and Biochemical Zoology.

While climate change and rising river temperatures have been linked to dwindling salmon stocks, other factors have made it difficult to measure the exact impact – these including diseases, fisheries and man-made structures such as dams and fish ladders.

"Calculating the affect of climate change on animal fitness has been particularly challenging for scientists," says lead author Tony Farrell, who is jointly appointed in the Dept. of Zoology and the Faculty of Land and Food Systems.

"Animals have a thermal window, or high and low temperatures between which they are at their best for aerobic activities. Our study has shown that high temperatures push certain sockeye salmon stocks beyond their thermal window, resulting in cardiovascular failure and death," says Farrell.

Led by Farrell and Prof. Scott Hinch in the Dept. of Forest Sciences and the Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, the UBC team has been studying Pacific salmon using biotelemetry trackers for a decade. They have identified the optimal thermal windows for several species of Pacific salmon, which coincide with the historic temperatures the fish would have encountered while migrating in the river.

In 2004, unusually warm river temperatures and earlier entry into the Fraser River system contributed to the "disappearance" of 70 per cent of the Weaver Creek sockeye stock.

"We analyzed river temperature data and the sockeye's migration dates and found that almost half of the population likely experienced temperatures that would cause a complete collapse of aerobic scope," says Farrell.

"In contrast, the Gates Creek sockeye stock, which have a higher thermal window, experienced few problems with the same high river temperatures that year."

In further investigations, the UBC team captured and placed individual fish in holding tanks of varying temperatures to simulate traversing different river temperatures before releasing them simultaneously back to the migratory run. Fish released from a high holding temperature were half as successful as those from colder environments at reaching their spawning grounds.

In a separate study, fish were intercepted during migration and implanted with biotelemetry trackers. None of the tracked salmon survived after release at river temperatures above the thermal window (at 19.5 degrees Celsius). Fish released at a cooler river temperature – one within the thermal window – later in the summer had much greater survival rates.

"This study shows that an increase over the past 50 years of 1.8 degrees Celsius in the Fraser River's peak summer temperatures is too much too fast for some salmon stocks," says Farrell.

"It also shows that climate change affects even the same species differently because individual populations may have adapted to their respective environments. As a result, we must develop strategies based on population – or even watershed – to predict, manage and conserve stocks."

Farrell adds that the same concepts may be applied beyond salmon management as another recent study co-authored by Farrell and published in the journal Science has revealed similar findings for fish and squid from the Atlantic Ocean.


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Public release date: 12-Nov-2008

Contact: Brian Lin
brian.lin@ubc.ca
604-822-2234
University of British Columbia


Jim's Fishing Charters
www.JimsFishing.com
http://ca.youtube.com/user/Sushihunter250
 
I would have to say that a decrease or cease in logging activities within a mile of any drainage that feeds the Fraser would help. I'm not a tree hugger that's for sure. I'm just saying that a band of trees escorting the small fry towards the ocean would help keep the waters cold. No, I haven't been up into that area to check. Plant trees to help fish. Not a bad idea at all. Mike

Clinging to my Guns and Religion. www.KoneZone.com
 
Just line the banks with icecube making machines.[:o)]

My theory on global warming is that it has taken 40,000 years for us to recover from the last ice age. Take an icecube, put it in a glass of room temperature water. Time how long it takes for the first half of the icecube to melt. The second half always melts faster! That is exactly what is happening in our real world. If you look back in time you will find places like BC used to be tropical. So we are just reverting back to the way things were before something (asteriod) caused the last ice age! The earth has its own cycles and as much as we would like to think that the earth revoles around us it just isn't so. We are just another blink of the eye in the life of the earth. Think about how many species on earth have become extinct, so it is only a matter of time before we do likewise. Thinking anything else is delusional. All we can do it try to extend our reign for as long as we can, but eventually the history of the earth dictates there will be a time when we no longer walk this planet. Enjoy it while we are here.

Take only what you need.
 
'we' have had no impact our our one and only environment????????

now that is delusional.



nice to hear some folks are still trying to do some science regarding fish runs and just why they continue to decline. of course if we were to get all the nets out, we would probably all see a resurgance in the depleted runs. i think someone once called that 'cause and effect' or some such............
 
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