Predicting sockeye returns on the Fraser is a precarious and complex endeavour. I don't envy those on the PSC Fraser Panel. This year is no different. In the spring DFO advised sports anglers that there may be an opening at the end of July(ish) in the marine approach waters, based on original sockeye abundance predictions.
We have just come off a period of a week where the test fishery results were less than spectacular (they have just started to improve a bit though). That is why the Fraser Panel down graded the run size of early Stuart fish. That does not bode well for us and we can only hope and pray that many more fish start showing up. No confirmation yet of the Summer stock returns, which are the ones we would get to fish, as it is still too early.
When going through pre-season planning exercises this spring, I understood the commercial sector (all gear types) were apportioned 2 million sockeye by DFO based on abundance predictions at that time. To my knowledge they are still predicting same catch and have not changed their position on fishing opportunities for commercial or sport yet. But, and that is a big BUT, the fish MUST show in the test fisheries and counting locations before they open the fishery.
So keep your fingers crossed. We might still get to catch a few in late Jul or early August but don't hold you breath. Also don't count on a long season either. It might open on a Friday and a DFO variance order comes out to close it on Monday.
If I hear anything I'll post it here.
Gov
God never did make a more calm, quiet, innocent recreation than angling - Izaak Walton