I wonder what the timeline is on it burning itself out there?
Clearly they have way more cases than the ~90,000 positive tests imply, but how many more? Five times? Ten times?
Germany has more than half as many confirmed cases...total deaths: 351. When Italy had 351 deaths, they only had ~7,000 confirmed cases. Scaling the numbers up to German testing standards, and assuming a similar mortality rate ( which in reality is likely worse in Italy on account of population and lower standards of care than Germany, although just how much worse is hard to say) I'd guess there are half a million cases in Italy right now. They'll be dealing with this for a long time yet.
The US is now the hotspot for the virus, over 100,000 cases...
CNN)The
first US case of the coronavirus was
reported January 21 -- a Washington state man who had recently returned from China. Now, the country has at least 101,242 cases across all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Guam, Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands.
At least 1,588 people have died, including 519 in New York, 175 in Washington state and 119 in Louisiana.
CNN's tallies are based on totals reported by states, US territories and the District of Columbia. As a result, they won't always match numbers reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Live updates
The CDC updates its tallies only on weekdays,
and those counts end at 4 p.m. ET the day before reporting. CDC officials said the most recent numbers will come from the states.
Answers to some of your top coronavirus questions, every day
Here are the rest of the cases, broken down by state:
Alabama: 638 (including three deaths)
Alaska: 69 (including one death)
Arizona: 665 (including 13 deaths)
Arkansas: 386 (including three deaths)
California: 3,801 (including 78 deaths)
Colorado: 1,734 (including 31 deaths)
Connecticut: 1,291 (including 27 deaths)
Delaware: 163 (including two deaths)
District of Columbia: 267 (including three deaths)
Florida: 3,192 (including 45 deaths)
Georgia: 2,198 (including 65 deaths)
Guam: 49 (including one death)
Hawaii: 120
Idaho: 230 (including four deaths)
Illinois: 3,026 (including 34 deaths)
Indiana: 981 (including 24 deaths)
Iowa: 235 (including three deaths)
Kansas: 202 (including four deaths)
Kentucky: 302 (including seven deaths)
Louisiana: 2,746 (including 119 deaths)
Maine: 168 (including one death)
Maryland: 774 (including five deaths)
Massachusetts: 3,240 (including 35 deaths)
Michigan: 3,657 (including 92 deaths)
Minnesota: 398 (including four deaths)
Mississippi: 579 (including eight deaths)
Missouri: 670 (including nine deaths)
Montana: 109 (include one death)
Nebraska: 89 (including two deaths)
Nevada: 535 (including 10 deaths)
New Hampshire: 187 (including two deaths)
New Jersey: 8,825 (including 108 deaths)
New Mexico: 191 (including one death)
New York: 44,635 (including 519 deaths)
North Carolina: 763 (including three deaths)
North Dakota: 68 (including one death)
Ohio: 1,137 (including 19 deaths)
Oklahoma: 322 (including eight deaths)
Oregon: 414 (including 12 deaths)
Pennsylvania: 2,218 (including 22 deaths)
Puerto Rico: 64 (including two deaths)
Rhode Island: 203
South Carolina: 539 (including 13 deaths)
South Dakota: 58 (including one death)
Tennessee: 1,203 (including six deaths)
Texas: 1,731 (including 23 deaths)
US Virgin Islands: 19
Utah: 480 (including two deaths)
Vermont: 184 (including 10 deaths)
Virginia: 604 (including 14 deaths)
Washington: 3,723 (including 175 deaths)
West Virginia: 96
Wisconsin: 842 (including 13 deaths)
Wyoming: 70
Repatriated cases: 152